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Good, True & Beautiful's avatar

Congratulations, well deserved and wishing you many, many more.

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It doesn't add up...'s avatar

You may find my comments on Francis Menton's article on the Royal Society at WUWT useful in your research. It's important to dig into the papers in the supplementary annexes to understand what they have done. Basically, most of their assumptions are FES/CCC Hopium. All they have done is to temper that with long term MERRA 2 based weather reanalysis. Something I already did several years ago, with rather better other assumptions.

It is at least a start, because the need for storage and surplus curtailed generation in a long term framework had been completely ignored by all the previous FES and Carbon Budget work. But assuming that energy demand can be cut to less than a third of the 200mtoe/2400TWh that we used at our peak, and then have extensive demand rationing applied to get through difficult times while offshore wind averages a Betz limit busting 63% capacity factor and we find space for 150GW of solar and developing storage capacity equal to roughly half the total methane storage in Europe seems well into the realm of fairy tales to me.

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