UK Electricity Prices Highest in the World
New data from the Government shows the UK has the highest industrial and domestic electricity prices of the 28 countries tracked by the IEA.
Introduction
Each year, the Government publishes international energy price comparisons. The data is sourced from the IEA and covers industrial and domestic gas and electricity prices. The latest data for 2023 was published a few weeks ago.
The data covers 28 of the countries that are part of the IEA. The data for some countries, such as Italy and Japan, is patchy and charts containing so many lines are difficult to decipher, so the chart analysis focuses on France, Germany, UK, Korea and the USA as well as the median IEA price. The commentary does discuss other countries when appropriate. All prices quoted include taxes.
Time to dig in to find out where the UK stands in the international league tables.
International Industrial Gas Prices
Starting with industrial gas prices (Table 5.7.1) as shown in Figure 1.
Gas prices for most of the world are at elevated levels and UK prices at 5.58p/kWh are some 7% below the IEA median. UK prices are about 17% lower than France and 10% less than Germany. The outlier in this analysis is the USA, with gas prices some five times lower than those in the UK. Canada’s industrial gas prices are even lower than the US and New Zealand’s prices are also very low.
International Industrial Electricity Prices
The international industrial electricity price comparison (Table 5.3.1) is shown in Figure 2.
UK industrial electricity prices at 25.85p/kWh are the highest of the 28 countries covered by the IEA report. UK prices are some four times those in the US, 2.6 times those of Korea and 46% higher than the IEA median. Given that UK gas prices are below the IEA median and those of France and Germany it cannot be gas prices that are driving UK electricity prices so much higher than elsewhere. Canada, Norway, Finland, Sweden, New Zealand and Portugal all have industrial electricity prices less than 10p/kWh.
We cannot hope to compete in traditional energy intensive industries or industries of the future like making batteries or AI with such extortionate electricity prices.
International Domestic Gas Prices
Domestic gas prices (Table 5.9.1) paint a similar picture to industrial gas prices as shown in Figure 3.
UK prices are at the IEA median of 10.17p/kWh, slightly above those in France and a bit below those in Germany. The price differential compared to the US is less pronounced, but domestic gas prices in the UK are still 2.5 times those in the US and roughly double those in Korea.
International Domestic Electricity Prices
Sadly, UK domestic electricity prices (Table 5.5.1) are even worse than industrial prices when compared to the IEA median, as seen in Figure 4.
At 36.39p/kWh the UK has the highest domestic electricity prices in the IEA, some 80% above the median of 20.22p/kWh. UK prices are 2.8 times those of the US and 3.5 times prices in Korea. Prices in Germany are slightly lower than the UK, with France’s prices just above the IEA median at 20.57p/kWh.
Conclusions
What are we to make of all this? When it comes to gas prices, the UK is reasonably competitive compared to the IEA median. However, there are many countries with much lower industrial gas prices, notably the US and Korea.
However, when we turn to electricity prices, the UK is woefully uncompetitive in both industrial and domestic markets with the highest prices among the 28 countries covered by the IEA. This level of price differential is an existential threat to the economy. Moreover, with gas prices around the median level, it cannot be gas that is driving the UK’s electricity prices well above those of international competitors.
As discussed previously (here and here), it is the ~£11bn of renewables subsidies, £4.6bn of carbon taxes in the form of the Emissions Trading Scheme, £2.5bn of grid balancing costs and £1bn of capacity market costs that are driving electricity prices skywards. There is an extra £112bn of transmission network costs in the pipeline to connect remote, intermittent renewables to the grid that will continue to push up prices.
Sadly, the Government has made a decarbonised grid by 2030 one of its five missions for Government. Pushing even more renewables on to the grid is bound to increase electricity costs even further, crushing our competitiveness. This is in direct contradiction to Labour’s number one mission of increasing economic growth. As discussed earlier, these two missions are incompatible; we cannot have top tier growth with the highest electricity prices in the developed world.
Having the highest electricity prices in the world ought to trigger a national emergency response. The Government’s primary mission should be to cut energy prices because cheap energy is the key to unlocking growth. They should focus first on ending subsidies for renewables and cancelling any further auction rounds. This would stop the rot at source. Second, they should abolish the Emissions Trading Scheme to bring down the cost of gas-fired generation. The Government would then need to invest in new sources of gas supply by encouraging more North Sea drilling and lifting the moratorium on fracking. In the longer term, there should be a renewed focus on nuclear in the form of conventional reactors, small modular reactors (SMRs) and advanced reactors. These will need to be supplemented by gas-fired generation for the time being until nuclear is able to respond effectively to rapid changes in demand.
We can but hope that reality dawns on the Government before the economy collapses under the weight of Net Zero.
STOP PRESS: We’re going to have to wait a long time for reality to dawn because the Government announced on Friday plans to spend £22bn of our money on carbon capture and storage which will reduce efficiency and push up the costs of gas-fired electricity even further. Will the last person to leave Britain please blow out the candles, because there won’t be any lights left to switch off.
Some of this material has been covered by Matt Ridley in the Spectator
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David asks “What are we to make of this?” Could it be because the UK is the only country with a legally-binding Climate Change Act (since 2008), ratcheted up in 2019 at the bidding of the global green blob to Net Zero? Could it be because the rabidly ideological politicians of the UK Uniparty are self-proclaimed “world leaders” in the deployment of weather-dependent wind and solar power? Rupert Darwall reports on Boris Johnson at COP26 saying “The UK can be the Saudi Arabia of wind power” while UK energy prices soar: https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/09/30/boris_johnson_bets_on_wind_796823.html.
These wholly inappropriate technologies are not only short lifespan and toxically non-recyclable, they are expensive to build and integrate, heavily resource-depleting, inefficient and unreliable.
Here’s a shocking image of the massive concrete and steel foundations of an unsustainable modern wind turbine which will no doubt remain in the ground forevermore: https://x.com/macnahgalla/status/1841483346603298942?t=wSrn1l68a5UWwAkPJCRjQA&s=19.
The tragedy is that there is no need whatsoever to attempt to reduce CO2 emissions because atmospheric CO2 is already “saturated”, which means even a doubling of its concentration from the present level will cause negligible global warming, but would be very beneficial to agriculture and forestry.
Reform UK is the only Westminster party committed to scrapping Net Zero.
Thank you David! The cover story of the price of gas is crumbling. How long before Joe Public catches on to the fact that despite all this cheap renewable energy, his bills keep going up, and the backlash starts? Too long of course.
I'm still reeling from your expose of Miliband and NG ESO a while back. Years in opposition give politicians time to think, a luxury that being in government denies. Given his supposed interest in the subject, he should have arrived in office with a pragmatic, practical, detailed, costed plan, but in truth, he simply couldn't be bothered to do his homework.
All political careers may end in failure, but that failure is often failure of something important to us, and not politicians' careers.