50 Comments
author

And now SSE illustrates my point perfectly by announcing it won't build any more onshore windfarms.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/09/09/britain-wind-power-developer-sse-onshore-offshore-farms/

Expand full comment

The time to change course IS now. That will necessarily mean repealing May's 2019 Net Zero statutory instrument target, preferably amending or repealing the climate Change Act 2008 - BEFORE the next election. It's not going to happen. The present government is going to keep going with the renewables fantasy, hand over power to Labour in a year or so's time who will then double down on the renewables fantasy with mad eco zealot Ed Miliband at the helm and fifth columnist Starmer in overall control, reporting directly to the WEF. Result: total economic destruction and social disintegration of UK PLC. The fake Conservatives are not going to save us in the few hours we have left before midnight.

Expand full comment
Sep 10, 2023Liked by David Turver

The idea that it’s necessary to have a STEM degree to understand the absurdity of where we are today is, I believe, incorrect. I took a law degree and qualified as a barrister and have had no technical training – yet I have no difficulty in understanding the problem. It’s time for the Government, and especially Claire Coutinho, to listen to people who can understand simple facts (such as those set out above) and apply basic logic to determining the inevitable outcome of such facts. All is not lost. Recent opinion polls have shown clearly that the majority ordinary voters – people who accept the need for emission cuts (hardly surprising in view of wall-to-wall propaganda) – will refuse to have anything to do with net zero policies that worsen their struggle with the cost of living. If key Tory politicians were to get a handle on reality and act accordingly – explaining that net zero is an impossible dream, that energy costs can be minimised and that Labour are eco fanatics – I believe they could change the political landscape.

Expand full comment
Sep 10, 2023Liked by David Turver

A timely little tweet from Ben Pile: https://twitter.com/clim8resistance/status/1700604774750511241?t=jP-t9HnlOJECxiJLq2MFGA&s=19.

A timely blasting of Net Zero from Net Zero Watch (GWPF): https://mailchi.mp/thegwpf/lord-king-net-zero-obsession-is-fuelling-inflation-198515?e=69a42f046a.

A timely exposure of the plans of the unelected, unaccountable UN for world governance via the trojan horse of alleged man-made global warming: https://twitter.com/wideawake_media/status/1700422392600760687?t=fC-P3rXvZqlGSffQ7tCyYA&s=19.

Expand full comment
Sep 10, 2023Liked by David Turver

The UK was forced by the EU to build the worst, poorly designed, expensive GenIII NPP on the planet, the French EPR. Britain could have done like Finland did, fed up with the expensive French EPR, they opted for the Russian VVER-1200 with a guaranteed price of GBP44.5 or 50 Euros per MWh, quite a bit cheaper than offshore wind in a Apples (nuclear) to Rotten Oranges (wind) comparison. And the Korean APR-1400 at half the price of the EPR is now approved for Europe. The UAE completed 5.6GWe of APR-1400's in 8yrs @ $24B, far cheaper than wind or solar even neglecting the terrible problems with intermittent, unreliable, seasonal wind/solar. That's starting from scratch with ZERO nuclear expertise or even much of an industrial infrastructure. According to British politicians, the UAE residents must be much more talented than British citizens.

And even EPR costs would shrink dramatically if publicly financed at <1% interest instead being forced by an EU Decree to be privately financed at ~10% interest. Funny the EU unelected dictatorship has no problem financing bombs & missiles to kill poor Libyans, Syrians, Iranians, Afghani's, Iraqis, Russians and Yemenis @ <1% interest but demands NPP's are privately financed. Yep, they care about climate change.

The super-safe, meltdown proof Moltex molten salt reactor was developed in Britain. Platt's Energy, did the full cost projection analysis for electricity from the Moltex reactors and determined it would be the cheapest electricity source in Britain, cheaper than gas, conventional coal, wind or solar. While being a 24/7, night/day, summer/winter, windy/calm electricity source. And can provide electricity storage for $50/kwe by adding an extra molten salt loop & tank running a standard off-the-shelf CCGT steam turbine. That's cheaper and more environmentally friendly than any form of storage tech currently available.

And with a capability to burn nuclear waste supplying all of Britain's energy needs for hundreds of years, with zero emissions. The British gov't refused to allow them to be built in Britain, forcing them to move to Canada. This is while claiming they have an SMR program, lying through their teeth. Obviously British politicians are owned by the Club-Of-Rome Malthusian Bankster Psychopaths, which are also behind the promoting and building wind farms in Britain.

My view is one of the best reactor being developed is the Molten Chloride Fast Reactor. It's designed to run on spent nuclear fuel, which the UK claims it wants to get rid of. It could supply all of Britain's energy needs for the next 75yrs just running on Britain's current store of spent nuclear fuel. With a 600-1000degC operating temperature, it can supply high grade process heat as well as electricity. And molten salt heat storage to cover the peak daily electricity demand. High level waste from that reactor, that is not valuable isotopes, would amount to about 0.1 oz per person in Britain over their entire 75yr lifespan. Easy to dispose of that in a borehole.

Expand full comment
Sep 10, 2023Liked by David Turver

Its unrealistic to expect any immediate change now too much is invested by politicians here but it could well be an inflexion point that at least acknowledges there needs to be a recalibration of the plainly impossible 2030 50GW off shore wind and 2035 decarbonised grid goals. These two targets are also driving the FSO to plan a new grid system that will cost 10's billions to build out (and most of the kit wont even be British unlike the 50/60's when we were self sufficient in manufacturing electrical power kit) the cost of which gets loading onto bills through TNUoS. The other thing of note here is booking the heavy lift vessels has to be done years in advance and with other countries jumping on the offshore wind band waggon now finding slots for later this decade could become very limited if we don't commit now. Also im not sure Inch Cape 1 wf (1GW) is going anywhere fast at the moment as construction work hasn't started albeit partners have been selected. Then you have AR3 project Muaitheabhal Wind Farm 189MW construction not started was due online by 2024. The only stuff with semi reliable build dates is solar which im fine with on roofs of warehouse and other large buildings but not on farming land we can't feed ourselves now and the climate evangelists should be more concerned about that but aren't.

My take is the Tories are beginning to wake up and see some opportunity here to row back, Labour have to be careful as any move to say it needs more money will undermine their "cost of living" mantra so not sure eco Ed actually represents their policy, Liberals and Greens are not interested in cost. Fundamentally though people have been brainwashed for decades particularly the younger generation who have heard no other messaging and they are tomorrows voters. So its going to be a tricky path to navigate and unfortunately until people see up close through a major blackout or cost of importing gas so it affects them directly i fear its going to be a long slog now.

Expand full comment
Sep 11, 2023Liked by David Turver

Devastating take down David. It must be a very difficult time for the green energy facists. Laid out in the way with trends against targets it shows how unachievable targets are. @IntermittentNRG has posted an interesting graphic of the energy generated by wind across the whole of Europe since 2001 and it's DECLINING. Could the trace gas CO2 be responsible for declining wind as well as every other climate catastrophe?😉

https://twitter.com/IntermittentNRG/status/1701098242119795063?t=95dGJaJNPo7o_47Yfy730Q&s=19

Expand full comment

Here's a mouseover map of the AR5 successful bids. The different technologies are highlighted by colour, while the size of the circles relates to the likely output from each project. Mouseover details include the name and company, planned start up timeframe, nominal capacity, likely output using realistic capacity factors (not the absurd assumptions made by DESNZ in setting the auction parameters), the strike price in 2012 money, and indexed to 2023.

https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/N76ms/1/

Expand full comment
Sep 10, 2023Liked by David Turver

Even if the contracts are signed, there is a small matter of finding a supplier that's likely to be in business next month.

Then there's the backlog of planning permission for the hookups...

Expand full comment

AR5 (Absolutely Ridiculous 5) is yet another fantasy that could well have been drafted by some rogue climate alarmist programmed AI bot

The nations energy used to be part of a real time, 25 year plan, that was constantly reviewed and updated by the then, professionally competent CEGB

Now, our energy systems, including its regulator, are hostage to left wing, ideological entities, who really should be let no where near a nations energy system

When the whole thing collapses into utter chaos, as it will on its current trajectory, I can only hope those who steered us to the cliff edge, are held in serious contempt and accountability

Expand full comment

I see the Irish have just had a rather less successful auction for onshore wind and solar. Just 3 wind projects totalling 148MW were awarded averaging €100.47 (£86.98) per MWh in current money. Solar washed out because of failings in auction parameters that echo the AR5 problems. More hard facts about real costs have to be faced.

https://www.current-news.co.uk/systematic-failures-limit-ress-onshore-wind-success/

Expand full comment

CfD is nothing more than speculative trading. It should never have been considered in the first instance as no one can guarantee when the wind blows or not.

It's a rich mans game as the middle class & poor. do not have the means or desire to participate, yet are penalised by this political scam.

Another racket IMO.

Expand full comment